Monday will bring lower temperatures along with the possibility of sporadic thunderstorms that may carry heavy rainfall through this evening after a weekend in which temperatures in most of New Jersey exceeded 90 degrees.
The National Weather Service predicts that a cold front will pass across the state in the late morning and early afternoon, which is when the scattered thunderstorms and showers are most likely to form.
Local shower in New Jersey
In its morning prediction discussion, the weather service warned that locally heavy rain was occasionally possible, as per NJ.com.
There have been no watches issued in advance of the storms, and widespread flooding is not anticipated.
By the afternoon, showers will taper off from the east to the west, although the front may slow along the coast, and rain may continue into the evening.
Monday's highs will be in the mid-70s to low 80s, far lower than the 94 degrees that were registered at Newark Liberty International Airport on Sunday. On Saturday, the temperature at the airport reached 96 degrees.
Before the significant July 4th holiday weekend, when some storms may return to the forecast, the Monday rains will bring in a week of calm weather.
The weather office predicted that good weather and dry conditions would then last through Friday, with rising temperatures and rising humidity as the week went on.
The region will have unstable weather over the holiday weekend with the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms due to a slow-moving cold front that will enter the area on Saturday and remain into Sunday.
Read more: Tornado Touched Down in Blackwood, New Jersey During Severe Storms on June 9: NWS Confirms
The disturbance of weather in Mexico
An area of disturbed weather in the northern Gulf of Mexico is being tracked for possible tropical development, and it could help fuel soaking rain in Texas through midweek, as per The Weather Channel.
Right now, the disturbance is an elongated area of low pressure that's producing clusters of showers and thunderstorms in the northern Gulf of Mexico.
This disturbance is expected to track westward toward the Texas coast over the next couple of days.
For now, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) gives this system a low possibility of development into a tropical depression in the area circled below.
It doesn't matter how things evolve; this disturbance, together with a frontal boundary, will increase rainfall on portions of the Texas coast into midweek.
These rains will help Texas, which is still engulfed in a growing severe to exceptional drought. However, in any regions of heavy rain that materialize, some isolated small flash floods cannot be ruled out.
Along the immediate Texas coast, at least an inch of rain may fall through Thursday, but there may be locally greater amounts.
Storms are still rolling over Southeast Texas, mostly west of I-45 and heading 25 mph to the southwest.
With numerous lightning strikes, rainfall totals have peaked ranging between 0.25 and 1.50 inches.
There is a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening, primarily before midnight. Lows will be in the mid-70s with largely overcast skies.
This week, a Gulf-based region of low pressure will march into Corpus Christi.
By Thursday, there is a 20% probability that this system may develop into a tropical one.
The amount of rain we receive this week and where it falls the heaviest will depend on this low.
Right now, it seems like our greatest chance for some decent, soaking rain will be late Tuesday into Wednesday.
Related article: Flooding Due to Thunderstorms Threaten Areas from Texas to Missouri Next Week